8 Oct · 09:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1325
FormWLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Slosarczyk
PS
🇵🇱Pawel Slosarczyk
ELO 1356
FormLLLLL
47%
53%
🌟Slosarczyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (66)
Fair odds · Slosarczyk
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 55% · 1.83· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+31
H2H10-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.