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08 Oct · 08:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JKJakub Kaczmarek
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1401
3-1Final setsKaczmarek won
WGWaldemar Glanowski
🇵🇱Waldemar Glanowski
ELO 1368
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kaczmarek at 51%. The actual result was Jakub Kaczmarek 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Glanowski favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 76.5
79 points played
Over
Set handicap
Glanowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Glanowski −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.65
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Kaczmarek is favoured to win, below means Waldemar Glanowski.

▲ Jakub Kaczmarekpre 47% → final 90%
Waldemar Glanowski ▼
Biggest swing 74 ptsKaczmarek recovered from 16%72 points · 4 games