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08 Oct · 08:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MCMilosz Cesarz
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1292
3-1Final setsCesarz won
OSOskar Sokolowski
🇵🇱Oskar Sokolowski
ELO 1329
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sokolowski at 56%. The actual result was Milosz Cesarz 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Sokolowski favoured — closing 1.5
Upset
Total 74.5
98 points played
Over
Set handicap
Sokolowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Sokolowski −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.2
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Milosz Cesarz is favoured to win, below means Oskar Sokolowski.

▲ Milosz Cesarzpre 47% → final 97%
Oskar Sokolowski ▼
Biggest swing 59 ptsCesarz recovered from 40%72 points · 4 games