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08 Oct · 09:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JKJakub Kaczmarek
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1401
3-2Final setsKaczmarek won
JNJakub Nowak
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1314
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kaczmarek at 52%. The actual result was Jakub Kaczmarek 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jakub Kaczmarek favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Total 76.5
86 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jakub Kaczmarek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jakub Kaczmarek −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Kaczmarek is favoured to win, below means Jakub Nowak.

▲ Jakub Kaczmarekpre 49% → final 100%
Jakub Nowak ▼
Biggest swing 67 ptsKaczmarek recovered from 33%72 points · 5 games