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08 Oct · 10:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JMJacek Mitas
🇵🇱Jacek Mitas
ELO 1612
3-1Final setsMitas won
JSJakub Stecyszyn
🇵🇱Jakub Stecyszyn
ELO 1705
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Stecyszyn at 64%. The actual result was Jacek Mitas 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jakub Stecyszyn favoured — closing 1.32
Upset
Total 73.5
72 points played
Under
Set handicap
Jakub Stecyszyn −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jakub Stecyszyn −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
7.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jacek Mitas is favoured to win, below means Jakub Stecyszyn.

▲ Jacek Mitaspre 31% → final 1%
Jakub Stecyszyn ▼
Biggest swing 48 pts56 points · 3 games