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08 Oct · 10:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KKKrzysztof Kapik
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kapik
ELO 1645
3-1Final setsKapik won
PJPatryk Jendrzejewski
🇵🇱Patryk Jendrzejewski
ELO 1650
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Jendrzejewski at 53%. The actual result was Krzysztof Kapik 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Kapik favoured — closing 1.8
Favourite won
Total 74.5
74 points played
Under
Set handicap
Kapik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Kapik −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Krzysztof Kapik is favoured to win, below means Patryk Jendrzejewski.

▲ Krzysztof Kapikpre 50% → final 92%
Patryk Jendrzejewski ▼
Biggest swing 44 pts72 points · 4 games