8 Oct · 17:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1438
FormWLLWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Czerwinski
BC
🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski
ELO 1559
FormLWWLW
37%
63%
Fair odds · Czerwinski
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+121
H2H9-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+121)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-5)