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08 Oct · 12:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
GPGrzegorz Poliniewicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1657
3-2Final setsPoliniewicz won
PJPatryk Jendrzejewski
🇵🇱Patryk Jendrzejewski
ELO 1650
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Jendrzejewski at 50%. The actual result was Grzegorz Poliniewicz 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Poliniewicz favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Total 79.5
97 points played
Over
Set handicap
Poliniewicz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Poliniewicz −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.3
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Poliniewicz is favoured to win, below means Patryk Jendrzejewski.

▲ Grzegorz Poliniewiczpre 54% → final 1%
Patryk Jendrzejewski ▼
Biggest swing 70 ptsJendrzejewski recovered from 29%72 points · 5 games