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08 Oct · 13:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JKJakub Kaczmarek
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1384
2-3Final setsSlosarczyk won
PSPawel Slosarczyk
🇵🇱Pawel Slosarczyk
ELO 1361
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kaczmarek at 55%. The actual result was Pawel Slosarczyk 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jakub Kaczmarek favoured — closing 1.85
Upset
Total 75.5
91 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jakub Kaczmarek −1.5 sets
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Kaczmarek is favoured to win, below means Pawel Slosarczyk.

▲ Jakub Kaczmarekpre 52% → final 90%
Pawel Slosarczyk ▼
Biggest swing 72 ptsKaczmarek recovered from 24%72 points · 5 games