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← TT Elite Series predictions
08 Oct · 14:15 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
KKKrzysztof Kapik
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kapik
ELO 1652
3-1Final setsKapik won
MRMateusz Rutkowski
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1602
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kapik at 54%. The actual result was Krzysztof Kapik 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mateusz Rutkowski favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 76.5
78 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mateusz Rutkowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mateusz Rutkowski −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.35
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Krzysztof Kapik is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Rutkowski.

▲ Krzysztof Kapikpre 58% → final 82%
Mateusz Rutkowski ▼
Biggest swing 28 pts29 points · 2 games