8 Oct · 17:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1323
FormWLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kaczmarek
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1384
FormWLLLW
43%
57%
🌟Nowak goes over total as underdog 63% (71)
Fair odds · Kaczmarek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~81 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+61
H2H32-36
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)