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08 Oct · 16:50 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
GJGrzegorz Jurowicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1437
1-3Final setsKomandzik won
RKRafal Komandzik
🇵🇱Rafal Komandzik
ELO 1383
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Jurowicz at 57%. The actual result was Rafal Komandzik 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Jurowicz favoured — closing 1.4
Upset
Total 73.5
74 points played
Over
Set handicap
Grzegorz Jurowicz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Grzegorz Jurowicz −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Jurowicz is favoured to win, below means Rafal Komandzik.

▲ Grzegorz Jurowiczpre 54% → final 6%
Rafal Komandzik ▼
Biggest swing 86 ptsKomandzik recovered from 13%72 points · 4 games