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08 Oct · 16:15 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MTMateusz Trela
🇵🇱Mateusz Trela
ELO 1375
3-0Final setsTrela won
MKMarcin Kowalczyk
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1348
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kowalczyk at 51%. The actual result was Mateusz Trela 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mateusz Trela favoured — closing 1.6
Favourite won
Total 76.5
52 points played
Under
Set handicap
Mateusz Trela −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Mateusz Trela −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
5.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Trela is favoured to win, below means Marcin Kowalczyk.

▲ Mateusz Trelapre 53% → final 95%
Marcin Kowalczyk ▼
Biggest swing 42 pts51 points · 3 games