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08 Oct · 16:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JBJaroslaw Badura
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Badura
ELO 1556
3-1Final setsBadura won
JKJakub Kaczmarek
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1377
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Badura at 68%. The actual result was Jaroslaw Badura 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jaroslaw Badura favoured — closing 1.37
Favourite won
Total 74.5
65 points played
Under
Set handicap
Jaroslaw Badura −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Jaroslaw Badura −6.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jaroslaw Badura is favoured to win, below means Jakub Kaczmarek.

▲ Jaroslaw Badurapre 66% → final 99%
Jakub Kaczmarek ▼
Biggest swing 62 ptsBadura recovered from 38%72 points · 4 games