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08 Oct · 17:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MKMarcin Kowalczyk
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1348
1-3Final setsSkorski won
MSMichal Skorski
🇵🇱Michal Skorski
ELO 1382
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kowalczyk at 51%. The actual result was Michal Skorski 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Skorski favoured — closing 1.65
Favourite won
Total 75.5
74 points played
Under
Set handicap
Michal Skorski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Michal Skorski −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcin Kowalczyk is favoured to win, below means Michal Skorski.

▲ Marcin Kowalczykpre 47% → final 2%
Michal Skorski ▼
Biggest swing 69 ptsSkorski recovered from 29%72 points · 4 games