8 Oct · 21:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Molenda
ELO 1766
FormLLWWW
81%Win chancemodel fair 1.23Molenda
MW
🇵🇱Michal Wolny
ELO 1443
FormWWWWW
81%
19%
Fair odds · Molenda
Model 81% · 1.23vsMarket 81% · 1.23· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 68%Total ~70 pts
3-0
40%
3-1
28%
3-2
12%
2-3
9%
1-3
7%
Elo Gap+323
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+323)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)