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← TT Elite Series predictions
08 Oct · 18:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MKMarcin Kowalczyk
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1333
0-3Final setsPoloszczanski won
DPDawid Poloszczanski
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1310
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kowalczyk at 55%. The actual result was Dawid Poloszczanski 0-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marcin Kowalczyk favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 75.5
68 points played
Under
Set handicap
Marcin Kowalczyk −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marcin Kowalczyk −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcin Kowalczyk is favoured to win, below means Dawid Poloszczanski.

▲ Marcin Kowalczykpre 52% → final 1%
Dawid Poloszczanski ▼
Biggest swing 71 ptsPoloszczanski recovered from 28%67 points · 3 games