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← TT Elite Series predictions
08 Oct · 18:45 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MKMariusz Koczyba
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1537
1-3Final setsTkocz won
MTMarek Tkocz
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1599
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Tkocz at 57%. The actual result was Marek Tkocz 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mariusz Koczyba favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 76.5
78 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mariusz Koczyba −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mariusz Koczyba −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Koczyba is favoured to win, below means Marek Tkocz.

▲ Mariusz Koczybapre 39% → final 4%
Marek Tkocz ▼
Biggest swing 70 ptsTkocz recovered from 28%72 points · 4 games