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08 Oct · 19:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JRJaroslaw Rolak
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1300
3-2Final setsRolak won
MSMichal Skorski
🇵🇱Michal Skorski
ELO 1386
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Skorski at 58%. The actual result was Jaroslaw Rolak 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Skorski favoured — closing 1.52
Upset
Total 76.5
90 points played
Over
Set handicap
Michal Skorski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Skorski −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jaroslaw Rolak is favoured to win, below means Michal Skorski.

▲ Jaroslaw Rolakpre 45% → final 75%
Michal Skorski ▼
Biggest swing 41 pts72 points · 5 games