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08 Oct · 20:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MTMarek Tkocz
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1609
3-0Final setsTkocz won
RKRafal Komandzik
🇵🇱Rafal Komandzik
ELO 1368
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Tkocz at 73%. The actual result was Marek Tkocz 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marek Tkocz favoured — closing 1.14
Favourite won
Total 68.5
49 points played
Under
Set handicap
Marek Tkocz −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Marek Tkocz −10.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
2.45
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marek Tkocz is favoured to win, below means Rafal Komandzik.

▲ Marek Tkoczpre 78% → final 100%
Rafal Komandzik ▼
Biggest swing 22 pts48 points · 3 games