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08 Oct · 22:15 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JRJaroslaw Rolak
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1300
0-3Final setsPoloszczanski won
DPDawid Poloszczanski
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1304
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Rolak at 52%. The actual result was Dawid Poloszczanski 0-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Dawid Poloszczanski favoured — closing 1.47
Favourite won
Total 75.5
52 points played
Under
Set handicap
Dawid Poloszczanski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Dawid Poloszczanski −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jaroslaw Rolak is favoured to win, below means Dawid Poloszczanski.

▲ Jaroslaw Rolakpre 56% → final 100%
Dawid Poloszczanski ▼
Biggest swing 58 ptsRolak recovered from 42%70 points · 4 games