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08 Oct · 23:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MTMateusz Trela
🇵🇱Mateusz Trela
ELO 1374
3-0Final setsTrela won
JRJaroslaw Rolak
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1300
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Trela at 57%. The actual result was Mateusz Trela 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mateusz Trela favoured — closing 1.65
Favourite won
Total 76.5
61 points played
Under
Set handicap
Mateusz Trela −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Mateusz Trela −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
5.3
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Trela is favoured to win, below means Jaroslaw Rolak.

▲ Mateusz Trelapre 61% → final 55%
Jaroslaw Rolak ▼
Biggest swing 36 ptsTrela recovered from 35%72 points · 4 games