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08 Oct · 23:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
GJGrzegorz Jurowicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1411
3-1Final setsJurowicz won
RKRafal Komandzik
🇵🇱Rafal Komandzik
ELO 1368
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Jurowicz at 53%. The actual result was Grzegorz Jurowicz 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Jurowicz favoured — closing 1.42
Favourite won
Total 76.5
76 points played
Under
Set handicap
Grzegorz Jurowicz −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Grzegorz Jurowicz −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.15
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Jurowicz is favoured to win, below means Rafal Komandzik.

▲ Grzegorz Jurowiczpre 50% → final 5%
Rafal Komandzik ▼
Biggest swing 84 ptsKomandzik recovered from 15%72 points · 4 games