9 Oct · 02:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1442
FormWWWLW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Tkocz
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1599
FormLWWWW
33%
67%
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 74% · 1.35· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~75 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+157
H2H29-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+157)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-8)