9 Oct · 02:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PK
🇵🇱Piotr Krukar
ELO 1382
FormWWLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Krukar
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1310
FormLWLLW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Krukar
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 48% · 2.09· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+72
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+72)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)