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09 Oct · 02:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
OVOliver Vincenec
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1444
3-0Final setsVincenec won
PKPawel Kurek
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1522
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kurek at 61%. The actual result was Oliver Vincenec 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Pawel Kurek favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Total 74.5
53 points played
Under
Set handicap
Pawel Kurek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Pawel Kurek −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
8.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Oliver Vincenec is favoured to win, below means Pawel Kurek.

▲ Oliver Vincenecpre 42% → final 100%
Pawel Kurek ▼
Biggest swing 61 ptsVincenec recovered from 39%52 points · 3 games