9 Oct · 06:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jendrzejewski
ELO 1661
FormLWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Jendrzejewski
KK
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kapik
ELO 1652
FormWWLWL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kapik🌟Kapik covers set handicap as underdog 68% (193)
Fair odds · Jendrzejewski
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.03· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+9
H2H35-46
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.