9 Oct · 06:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1444
FormWLLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kurek
PK
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1522
FormLWWLW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Kurek
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+78
H2H10-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)