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09 Oct · 05:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KSKarol Sulkowski
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1322
3-2Final setsSulkowski won
FKFrantisek Krcil
🇵🇱Frantisek Krcil
ELO 1426
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Krcil at 62%. The actual result was Karol Sulkowski 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Frantisek Krcil favoured — closing 1.55
Upset
Total 73.5
84 points played
Over
Set handicap
Frantisek Krcil −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Frantisek Krcil −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Karol Sulkowski is favoured to win, below means Frantisek Krcil.

▲ Karol Sulkowskipre 34% → final 97%
Frantisek Krcil ▼
Biggest swing 87 ptsSulkowski recovered from 12%72 points · 5 games