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09 Oct · 06:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PKPawel Kurek
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1518
0-3Final setsRuszkiewicz won
ARAdam Ruszkiewicz
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1509
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kurek at 53%. The actual result was Adam Ruszkiewicz 0-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Pawel Kurek favoured — closing 1.57
Upset
Total 74.5
62 points played
Under
Set handicap
Pawel Kurek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Pawel Kurek −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Pawel Kurek is favoured to win, below means Adam Ruszkiewicz.

▲ Pawel Kurekpre 50% → final 5%
Adam Ruszkiewicz ▼
Biggest swing 49 pts61 points · 3 games