9 Oct · 10:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jendrzejewski
ELO 1673
FormLWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kuzmicz
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kuzmicz
ELO 1743
FormLWWWL
42%
58%
🌟Jendrzejewski covers set handicap as underdog 66% (106)
Fair odds · Kuzmicz
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+70
H2H24-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-21)