9 Oct · 09:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kuzmicz
ELO 1743
FormLWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Wloczko
KW
🇵🇱Krzysztof Wloczko
ELO 1768
FormWLWLW
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kuzmicz🌟Kuzmicz covers set handicap as underdog 72% (147)
Fair odds · Wloczko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 53% · 1.90· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+25
H2H20-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.