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09 Oct · 08:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MPMichal Paszkiewicz
🇵🇱Michal Paszkiewicz
ELO 1493
3-0Final setsPaszkiewicz won
PKPawel Kurek
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1502
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kurek at 53%. The actual result was Michal Paszkiewicz 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Pawel Kurek favoured — closing 1.55
Upset
Total 73.5
58 points played
Under
Set handicap
Pawel Kurek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Pawel Kurek −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
10
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Paszkiewicz is favoured to win, below means Pawel Kurek.

▲ Michal Paszkiewiczpre 43% → final 99%
Pawel Kurek ▼
Biggest swing 64 ptsPaszkiewicz recovered from 35%57 points · 3 games