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09 Oct · 09:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
RSRafal Skotniczny
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1645
3-2Final setsSkotniczny won
TWTomasz Wrzalik
🇵🇱Tomasz Wrzalik
ELO 1448
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Skotniczny at 71%. The actual result was Rafal Skotniczny 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Rafal Skotniczny favoured — closing 1.37
Favourite won
Total 73.5
93 points played
Over
Set handicap
Rafal Skotniczny −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Rafal Skotniczny −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.45
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Skotniczny is favoured to win, below means Tomasz Wrzalik.

▲ Rafal Skotnicznypre 70% → final 81%
Tomasz Wrzalik ▼
Biggest swing 57 ptsSkotniczny recovered from 31%72 points · 5 games