9 Oct · 12:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KK
🇵🇱Krystian Kolodziej
ELO 1733
FormLWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kolodziej
PK
🇵🇱Patrik Klos
ELO 1707
FormWLWLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Kolodziej
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 55% · 1.83· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+26
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.