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09 Oct · 12:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PJPatryk Jendrzejewski
🇵🇱Patryk Jendrzejewski
ELO 1672
3-2Final setsJendrzejewski won
KKKrystian Kolodziej
🇵🇱Krystian Kolodziej
ELO 1734
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kolodziej at 57%. The actual result was Patryk Jendrzejewski 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Krystian Kolodziej favoured — closing 1.4
Upset
Total 72.5
92 points played
Over
Set handicap
Krystian Kolodziej −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Krystian Kolodziej −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
6.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Patryk Jendrzejewski is favoured to win, below means Krystian Kolodziej.

▲ Patryk Jendrzejewskipre 39% → final 95%
Krystian Kolodziej ▼
Biggest swing 93 ptsJendrzejewski recovered from 3%72 points · 5 games