9 Oct · 16:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GW
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1621
FormLWWWW
80%Win chancemodel fair 1.25Wichowski
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1311
FormLLLLL
80%
20%
🌟Nowak goes over total as underdog 63% (71)
Fair odds · Wichowski
Model 80% · 1.25vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 63%Total ~76 pts
3-0
34%
3-1
29%
3-2
17%
2-3
8%
1-3
8%
Elo Gap+310
H2H20-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+310)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-3)