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09 Oct · 15:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
CPCezary Pawlik
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1660
3-1Final setsPawlik won
OJOskar Jedrzejowski
🇵🇱Oskar Jedrzejowski
ELO 1604
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pawlik at 54%. The actual result was Cezary Pawlik 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Oskar Jedrzejowski favoured — closing 1.47
Upset
Total 75.5
81 points played
Over
Set handicap
Oskar Jedrzejowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Oskar Jedrzejowski −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Cezary Pawlik is favoured to win, below means Oskar Jedrzejowski.

▲ Cezary Pawlikpre 58% → final 100%
Oskar Jedrzejowski ▼
Biggest swing 60 ptsPawlik recovered from 40%72 points · 4 games