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09 Oct · 16:15 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DPDawid Poloszczanski
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1307
3-1Final setsPoloszczanski won
BWBlazej Warpas
🇵🇱Blazej Warpas
ELO 1373
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Warpas at 59%. The actual result was Dawid Poloszczanski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Blazej Warpas favoured — closing 1.57
Upset
Total 76.5
75 points played
Under
Set handicap
Blazej Warpas −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Blazej Warpas −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dawid Poloszczanski is favoured to win, below means Blazej Warpas.

▲ Dawid Poloszczanskipre 44% → final 91%
Blazej Warpas ▼
Biggest swing 83 ptsPoloszczanski recovered from 12%72 points · 4 games