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09 Oct · 16:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MLMikolaj Lukaszewski
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1318
3-2Final setsLukaszewski won
AEAdrian Eliasz
🇵🇱Adrian Eliasz
ELO 1354
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Eliasz at 56%. The actual result was Mikolaj Lukaszewski 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Adrian Eliasz favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 76.5
98 points played
Over
Set handicap
Adrian Eliasz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Adrian Eliasz −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.9
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mikolaj Lukaszewski is favoured to win, below means Adrian Eliasz.

▲ Mikolaj Lukaszewskipre 47% → final 89%
Adrian Eliasz ▼
Biggest swing 88 ptsLukaszewski recovered from 7%72 points · 5 games