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09 Oct · 18:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MKMichal Krutak
🇵🇱Michal Krutak
ELO 1558
2-3Final setsMalcher won
KMKrzysztof Malcher
🇵🇱Krzysztof Malcher
ELO 1398
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Krutak at 73%. The actual result was Krzysztof Malcher 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Krutak favoured — closing 1.37
Upset
Total 73.5
92 points played
Over
Set handicap
Michal Krutak −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Krutak −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Krutak is favoured to win, below means Krzysztof Malcher.

▲ Michal Krutakpre 78% → final 7%
Krzysztof Malcher ▼
Biggest swing 85 ptsMalcher recovered from 8%72 points · 5 games