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← TT Elite Series predictions
09 Oct · 19:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MAMariusz Adamus
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1511
1-3Final setsMichalski won
JMJakub Michalski
🇵🇱Jakub Michalski
ELO 1292
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Adamus at 74%. The actual result was Jakub Michalski 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mariusz Adamus favoured — closing 1.32
Upset
Total 74.5
73 points played
Under
Set handicap
Mariusz Adamus −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mariusz Adamus −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Adamus is favoured to win, below means Jakub Michalski.

▲ Mariusz Adamuspre 73% → final 17%
Jakub Michalski ▼
Biggest swing 74 ptsMichalski recovered from 21%72 points · 4 games