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09 Oct · 19:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
CPCezary Pawlik
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1671
3-1Final setsPawlik won
MKMichal Krutak
🇵🇱Michal Krutak
ELO 1558
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pawlik at 61%. The actual result was Cezary Pawlik 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Cezary Pawlik favoured — closing 1.4
Favourite won
Total 75.5
77 points played
Over
Set handicap
Cezary Pawlik −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Cezary Pawlik −6.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.2
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Cezary Pawlik is favoured to win, below means Michal Krutak.

▲ Cezary Pawlikpre 65% → final 92%
Michal Krutak ▼
Biggest swing 30 pts72 points · 4 games