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09 Oct · 19:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KMKrzysztof Malcher
🇵🇱Krzysztof Malcher
ELO 1398
3-1Final setsMalcher won
OJOskar Jedrzejowski
🇵🇱Oskar Jedrzejowski
ELO 1611
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Jedrzejowski at 74%. The actual result was Krzysztof Malcher 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Oskar Jedrzejowski favoured — closing 1.32
Upset
Total 73.5
72 points played
Under
Set handicap
Oskar Jedrzejowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Oskar Jedrzejowski −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Krzysztof Malcher is favoured to win, below means Oskar Jedrzejowski.

▲ Krzysztof Malcherpre 27% → final 83%
Oskar Jedrzejowski ▼
Biggest swing 73 ptsMalcher recovered from 25%71 points · 4 games