Mariusz Adamus vs Jaroslaw Badura — TT Elite Series

← TT Elite Series predictions

09 Oct · 22:40 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus

ELO 1501

2-3Final setsBadura won

🇵🇱Jaroslaw Badura

ELO 1572

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Badura at 57%. The actual result was Jaroslaw Badura 2-3 — the pick was correct.

Mariusz Adamus — profile →Jaroslaw Badura — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Jaroslaw Badura favoured — closing 1.6

Favourite won

Total 78.5

105 points played

Over

Set handicap

Jaroslaw Badura −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Jaroslaw Badura −2.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Adamus is favoured to win, below means Jaroslaw Badura.

▲ Mariusz Adamuspre 39% → final 22%

Jaroslaw Badura ▼

Biggest swing 81 ptsBadura recovered from 17%72 points · 5 games