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09 Oct · 23:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JSJakub Skorupa
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1488
3-0Final setsSkorupa won
KMKrzysztof Malcher
🇵🇱Krzysztof Malcher
ELO 1398
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Skorupa at 60%. The actual result was Jakub Skorupa 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jakub Skorupa favoured — closing 1.57
Favourite won
Set handicap
Jakub Skorupa −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Jakub Skorupa −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
4.95
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Skorupa is favoured to win, below means Krzysztof Malcher.

▲ Jakub Skorupapre 64% → final 99%
Krzysztof Malcher ▼
Biggest swing 36 pts72 points · 4 games