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10 Oct · 01:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
RSRobert Szymik
🇵🇱Robert Szymik
ELO 1514
3-2Final setsSzymik won
JBJaroslaw Badura
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Badura
ELO 1561
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Badura at 60%. The actual result was Robert Szymik 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Badura favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 73.5
87 points played
Over
Set handicap
Badura −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Badura −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.3
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Robert Szymik is favoured to win, below means Jaroslaw Badura.

▲ Robert Szymikpre 36% → final 98%
Jaroslaw Badura ▼
Biggest swing 85 ptsSzymik recovered from 14%72 points · 5 games