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10 Oct · 00:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MAMariusz Adamus
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1501
3-1Final setsAdamus won
RWRoman Wiza
🇵🇱Roman Wiza
ELO 1417
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Adamus at 59%. The actual result was Mariusz Adamus 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mariusz Adamus favoured — closing 1.57
Favourite won
Total 75.5
76 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mariusz Adamus −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Mariusz Adamus −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.55
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Adamus is favoured to win, below means Roman Wiza.

▲ Mariusz Adamuspre 63% → final 96%
Roman Wiza ▼
Biggest swing 64 ptsAdamus recovered from 34%72 points · 4 games