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10 Oct · 01:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MAMariusz Adamus
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1501
0-3Final setsMichalski won
JMJakub Michalski
🇵🇱Jakub Michalski
ELO 1284
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Adamus at 70%. The actual result was Jakub Michalski 0-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mariusz Adamus favoured — closing 1.3
Upset
Total 73.5
62 points played
Under
Set handicap
Mariusz Adamus −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mariusz Adamus −7.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Adamus is favoured to win, below means Jakub Michalski.

▲ Mariusz Adamuspre 68% → final 9%
Jakub Michalski ▼
Biggest swing 64 ptsMichalski recovered from 32%61 points · 3 games