Jakub Michalski vs Jaroslaw Badura — TT Elite Series

← TT Elite Series predictions

10 Oct · 03:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Jakub Michalski

ELO 1295

3-1Final setsMichalski won

🇵🇱Jaroslaw Badura

ELO 1561

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Badura at 60%. The actual result was Jakub Michalski 3-1 — the underdog won.

Jakub Michalski — profile →Jaroslaw Badura — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Badura favoured — closing 1.25

Upset

Total 72.5

68 points played

Under

Set handicap

Badura −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Badura −7.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

9.25

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Michalski is favoured to win, below means Jaroslaw Badura.

▲ Jakub Michalskipre 43% → final 87%

Jaroslaw Badura ▼

Biggest swing 65 ptsMichalski recovered from 34%67 points · 4 games